Preliminary Cost-Benefit Analysis: Improving State Support for Orphanage Graduates in Kyrgyzstan

Year: 2016 | Language: Russian | Category: Research

Produced by Oasis and Our Voice under the “Protecting the Rights and Interests of Orphanage Graduates” project, and funded by USAID and DFID, this preliminary analysis makes an economic case for strengthening state support for care leavers in Kyrgyzstan. Using publicly available government data, it models two scenarios — maintaining the status quo versus expanding state support — and compares the costs and benefits of each across housing, healthcare, social benefits, vocational training, and criminal justice. The analysis finds that the costs of inaction (incarceration, lost tax revenue, increased public health burden) significantly outweigh the investment required to provide graduates with adequate housing, medical coverage, and social payments. Given data gaps in government statistics on care leavers, the document is explicitly framed as a preliminary analysis and includes a roadmap for conducting a fuller cost-benefit analysis via an inter-agency working group. It concludes with recommendations to the Kyrgyz government to create that working group and to mandate cost-benefit analysis for legislation affecting education, healthcare, and social protection.